Science and Politics

June 24th, 2011

The point at which we begin to let a political agenda dictate what science is all about is the point when science ceases to be a viable enterprise.

So says Gordon Gallup, Jr. But he’s not talking about climate change, oh no.

Moyles on Tax

June 22nd, 2011

I listen to Radio 1 partly because it is apolitical, and I mostly don’t want to hear about other people’s politics (especially the BBC’s) first thing in the morning. But this morning, Chris Moyles started talking about tax.

He was jokingly persuading listeners to give breakfast show team members £200,000 each if they won the lottery. (With 8 million listeners someone is bound to win!) Then someone pointed out that they would only get £120,000 after tax.

…and the taxman goes [knock knock knock] “I think you’ll find a little bit of that belongs to me.” How does that work? He’s not done anything for it.

I have recorded the segment to MP3.

Now Moyles is a kind of man-in-the-street sort of character as far as views on this sort of thing go. So this could be considered what the man in the street thinks about tax. Most people would probably agree. So why don’t they follow opinions like this through to their logical conclusion?

Teething

June 21st, 2011

Teething. A kind, forgiving, loving god who just happens to torture babies for mysterious reasons?

Or a series of mutations that led to a skull optimised for brain size but with some serious but non-fatal flaws?

Climate Scientists not the best scientists?

June 21st, 2011

A commenter named “Justice4Rinka” on a Bishop Hill post about politics and science suggests that climate scientists are not exactly the cream of the crop. The really clever people go for the harder sciences. I’m not sure: climate science done right seem like quite a challenge to me. But it’s quite funny. He’s responding to an observation about the nastiness and venom seen in climate debates.

The nastiness is surely because it’s politics, not science.

UK climate psyentists appear to be thickoes who got a few Ds and Es in their A Levels in the 1970s, and ended up at third-rate ratholes like UEA because they weren’t intelligent enough to get places or jobs studying anything harder anywhere better.

There are perhaps one or two exceptions, in the form of brightish people who need to be the smartest person in the room and who therefore seek out rooms full of climate psyentists. But in general the above seems to be true. CAGW is a scare got up by the bottom half of the geography A Level class of 1975, cynically exploited by a bunch of ecofascist nutters who will only be happy when almost everyone is dead and whoever’s left is poor. The thickoes get to feel clever for once, and the ecofascists get a new excuse to lecture and impoverish everyone else.

The west has always an elite that spent its time lecturing, hectoring and oppressing its own people and – especially – benighted brown foreigners about their moral bankrupty. In the sixteenth century we had the Catholic Church burning south Americans at the stake for being heathen, and in the twenty-first we have its natural successor in the form of the IPCC.

The comparison with organised religion has often been made, but one made less often is that despite Galileo’s excellent work debunking its claims, the Catholic Church still exists – and in fact has more adherents now than it did then. Something of the kind can be expected with CAGW, I reckon. Like with those loony millenarian cults, the disaster will always be just about to happen.

As Matthew 26:11 almost says, Ye have the pisspoor always with you.

Sony Vita and VAT

June 19th, 2011

The Sony Vita is a new handheld games console, due out by Christmas, that I happen to be irrationally excited about. They have recently announced the pricing for the various worldwide markets.

Explains Andrew House from Sony:

“I think we need to do a better job of explaining issues around sales tax as well. The fact of the matter is the UK price will have 20 per cent VAT included in that, the US price by contrast in LA is without the sales tax included.

If you’re buying it in California you can add another 9 per cent thanks to Arnold Schwarzenegger.”

The 3G version of Vita has an estimated UK price of £279 of which a whopping £46.50 is tax.

I’d like to see more of companies saying this. The worst thing about UK VAT is that it is hidden.

Teaching Children to Think

May 30th, 2011

On Comment is Free, Ben Goldacre has a good article about children’s ability to spot bullshit. It starts with an example.

Brain Gym is a schools programme I’ve been writing on since 2003. It’s a series of elaborate physical movements with silly pseudoscientific justifications: you wiggle your head back and forth because that gets more blood into your frontal lobes for clearer thinking; you contort your fingers together to improve some unnamed “energy flow”; they are keen on drinking water, because “processed foods” – I’m quoting the Brain Gym Teacher’s Manual – “do not contain water.” You pay hundreds of thousands of pounds for Brain Gym, and it’s still done in hundreds of state schools across the UK.

This week I got an email from a science teacher about a 13-year-old pupil. Both have to remain anonymous. This pupil wrote an article about Brain Gym for her school paper, explaining why it’s nonsense: the essay is respectful, straightforward, and factual. But the school decided they couldn’t print it, because it would offend teachers in the junior school who use Brain Gym.

First of all, wow. That’s the exact opposite of education. It’s often said that schools take bright students and beat the curiosity out of them. This is a concrete example of that happening.

Goldacre cites more examples of children working things out for themselves and adults attempting to suppress them. (It’s one reason I love the sitcom Outnumbered: the seven-year-old character Karen is always beautifully picking apart the illogicality of the adults’ explanations.)

Then this:

If every school taught the basics – randomised trials, blinding, cohort studies, and why systematic reviews are better than cherrypicking your evidence – it would help everyone navigate the world, and learn some of the most important ideas in the whole of science.

I’d go much further. Children deserve the gifts of the Enlightenment: to be taught how to think. Schools will never do this.

We are moving house. I often confound my friends who ask me whether I have researched the schools in the area we are moving to, by answering that I think the kids outside them don’t look too feral so I’m not that worried. What about league tables and Ofsted reports? Who cares? If schools in Britain are failing to teach children how to think, and these measures don’t capture this fact, then they are useless.

I see school as daycare: a place for socialising and having fun, and maybe picking up some interesting bits of trivia. My son will be taught how to think, which is all that is really needed, but not by his school.

I’m starting to collect articles along these lines, either for him to read when he is older or to keep these ideas fresh in my mind. The Goldacre article will be included, as will this Eric Raymond article about fitting lines to data.

NHS Abuse

May 29th, 2011

A friend posted a link on Facebook to a story about a woman who went to A&E for a broken nail. What seems to have happened is that NHS West Kent have put out a press release imploring people not to use its services unless they really need them.

Which strikes me as a pretty odd state of affairs. Imagine a business complaining of too many customers.

Anyway, I pointed out that this is a problem with “free” at the point of use health care. The flip-side is people not going to the doctors’ because they worry they’ll be wasting his time. I’ve certainly had this experience myself, where I’ve visited the doctor in the hope of getting stronger allergy medicine and left feeling like I have burdened him unnecessarily. The treatment you generally get from the receptionists boils down to the same thing. It’s more, “what are you doing here taking up space in my surgery?” than “how can I help you?”

At least with a vendor/customer relationship everyone knows where they stand. People will visit the doctor when they think the urgency of the situation outweighs the cost. The doctor will be pleased to see you whatever you are there for. 7% more customers would mean 7% more profit, not 7% more problems.

Someone replied wondering what would happen if there wasn’t an NHS, and you became seriously ill, unable to work, and therefore unable to afford treatment.

My answer is that that’s what families and communities are for. Previously such problems have been solved by friendly societies, or church congregations. Or you would have to rely on your family.

There was some discussion about whether this is a realistic notion in this day and age. There is no such thing as community, and who wants to look after ailing family members?

I think there is still community, it’s just that people are more dispersed because of modern transportation and telecoms. Your circle of close friends is your community.

But to the extent that community has been devalued, it’s probably a consequence of spending 60 years telling people they can rely on the state to provide for them: why go to the effort of being nice to your neighbours when the government will send round a nurse to look after you? I think when conservatives talk about family and community, this is what they mean, not any “Big Society” nonsense.

Similarly, no-one wants to pay for their friends’ operations. But why don’t they? It’s because the government does it for them. The expectation is there so they don’t save for the eventuality. And the high taxes don’t help with this, either.

But even if you don’t agree and think that the NHS is necessary, you have to accept that if you offer a service at no cost, there will inevitably be more demand than you can cope with.

Feynman on Redistribution of Wealth

April 22nd, 2011

I’m reading Surely You’re Joking Mr Feynman! Actually it’s my son’s bed time story book. He’s only ten months old so I just want him to be familiar with people reading, and it doesn’t matter so much what we read.

Anyway, this bit got a folded corner, from the chapter ‘Is Electricity Fire?’. In the early 1950s Feynman gets invited to a conference on the “ethics of equality”.

There was a special dinner at some point, and the head of the theology place, a very nice, very Jewish man gave a speech. It was a good speech, and he was a very good speaker, so while it sounds crazy now, while I’m telling about it, at that time his main idea sounded completely obvious and true. He talked about the big differences in the welfare of various countries, which cause jealousy, which leads to conflict, and now that we have atomic weapons, any war and we’re doomed, so therefore the right way out is to strive for peace by making sure there are no great differences from place to place, and since we have so much in the United States, we should all give up nearly everything to the other countries until we’re all even. Everybody was listening to this, and we were all full of sacrificial feeling, and all thinking we ought to do this. But I came back to my senses on the way home.

The next day one of the guys in our group said, “I think that speech last night was so good that we should all endorse it, and it should be the summary of our conference.”

I started to say that the idea of distributing everything evenly is based on a theory that there’s only X amount of stuff in the world, that somehow we took it away from poorer countries in the first place, and therefore we should give it back to them. But this theory doesn’t take into account the real reason for the differences between countries — that is, the development of new techniques for growing food, the development of machinery to grow food and to do other things, and the fact that all this machinery requires the concentration of capital. It isn’t the stuff, but the power to make the stuff, that is important. But I realize now that these people were not in science; they didn’t understand it. They didn’t understand technology; they didn’t understand their time.

Feynman does not say these things because of party politics: he has looked at the world and this is how it works.

Scotland Signs

April 20th, 2011

Some signs from a recent trip to Scotland. Most of these you can click on to see them in Flickr, where they are also geotagged so you can see where they were taken.

Here are some people ignoring a sign telling them not to go on the beach. There was some earth moving equipment parked up nearby. Apparently there was a project underway to move sand around. But sand was not being moved around right then, so people ignored the sign. This is evidence that the general public are still able to think for themselves, which is good.

Here, someone official has decided it would be a good idea to ask everyone to drive efficiently. As a friend wrote on Flickr, “Define ‘efficient’ :) Time-efficient works for me.”

Probably the same people responsible for the sign above, advertising themselves. Once again I find myself asking: what am I supposed to do with this information?

This is a refreshing change. Because we were out of season, there were no tourists, so the car parks were empty. So they were free. It would be so easy to charge anyway, but someone somewhere has decided not to.

In a world where all property is private, would there still be parks? I think so. Perhaps they would be like this park, where you must rent a key to able to open the gate and access it. I imagine that in this park it is allowed to take a bottle of wine to your picnic, unlike some London parks where picnicing couples get in trouble for drinking wine because wine is not allowed because of the winos, and of course rules must be enforced equally…

What?

April 9th, 2011

While shopping online on Tesco I saw:

What am I supposed to do with that information?