School Indoctrination

February 8th, 2010

On a Samizdata post about the Tories’ failure to capitalise on the recent loss of faith in climate science, Nick Davis comments:

At school, my 9 year old and his classmates are learning all about ranforests.

Part of his homework for the weekend is research: “Find as many reasons for the destruction of the rainforests as you can. Record them in an informative way“.

What an interesting question? What an open-minded teacher!

I have given him a handful of pointers: to raise a country out of poverty by export led growth; to clear land for industrialisation or habitation; to provide building materials; to clear land for farming.

His reply is that I have misunderstood the teacher’s instruction. He is supposed to be finding out why it has happened/is happening, not why it may be a Good Thing (TM).

He’s either too clever for me, or too indoctrinated! My explanation about eco-imperialism (why should we deny them the ability to enjoy western comforts?) was met with “if they all start to use computers and the internet, that’ll use lots of energy which will destroy the planet“.

Following our discussion he has therefore written this: “There is no reason for destroying the rainforests”.

I think I need to dig up Alvin Rabushka’s book (which I have lent out or lost or both) or Peter Bauer for some inspiration. Anyone any other ideas?

UPDATE: Just remembered that Lomborg’s The Skeptical Environmentalist has a discussion on this issue. And my well-thumbed copy is in easy reach…

William H Stoddard makes this valid snipe about “[I]f they all start to use computers and the internet, that’ll use lots of energy which will destroy the planet.”:

That kid’s mastered the green agenda, all right: We have to keep Them poor. It’s for their own good, of course.

Manuel II Paleologos chips in with:

Nick – I was revising GCSE RE with my eldest last week and came across a statement categorically stating that “poverty” has got worse in the world since the Brandt report in 1980.

What can they mean? Bring back Carter and Callaghan!

It’s hard to know where to start deconstructing this argument, but I struggled to think of any measure at all where this was true.

My eldest is a bit autistic so I tried not to confuse him too much, but Parents’ Evening is going to be fun.

Ages ago, the englishman was complaining about his son’s homework being set by Christian Aid, and being all about how climate change is making life hard for poor people.

All of this is of much interest to me, as I’m expecting to be sending a child of my own to school in, ooh, about five years or so. Nick Davis’s comment in particular is interesting because his son argues back. Now, Nick Davis’s son presumably lives with Nick Davis who is the sort of person who leaves comments on Samizdata. I’m kind of hoping that it should be possible to teach children about critical thinking; and that teachers are not necessarily the ultimate authority on things; and that in any case authority is not to be trusted all the time; and even that at school there are sometimes forces at work that mean you may be taught some distortion of the truth. They may not understand everything at once, but I would hope that someone with an interest in the world and armed with some concept of critical thinking should be able to escape even a state education unscathed.

But there is Nick Davis’s son. And there are people who tell me that children are very much influenced by their (not necessarily so critically thinking) peers.

“If they all start to use computers and the internet, that’ll use lots of energy which will destroy the planet.”

I would like to think that no child of mine could say such a thing. Of course, it could be that the boy was just winding his dad up. No doubt my children are going to rebel by becoming vegetarians and I will have to watch them starve (or cook their own food); and they will certainly learn very quickly how to wind me up I am sure.

But it makes me wonder.

Signal and Noise

February 1st, 2010

Pa Annoyed has what I think is a very important explanation of the problems with doing statistics on the kinds of signals found in climate science. It’s important because it makes available to the layman a level of understanding about the nature of the science. And understanding helps us come up with good arguments.

The article starts off about an email from dendrochronologist Ed Cook’s in which he complains that he has to review a paper that contains too much maths. Pa Annoyed points out that it’s exactly the kind of maths he should be intimately familiar with.

Pa Annoyed then proceeds to explain the kind of maths we are talking about. It is about how to tell the difference between signal and noise. The problem is there are different kinds of forms that the signal and the noise can take, and climatologists seem very keen to assume that the signal is a straight line and the wobbles up and down are noise. The straight line goes steadily up and is global warming; the noise wobbles up and down and is weather.

Pa Annoyed explains that there is no physical reason for that to be the signal to be a straight line, and every reason for it to be what the graphs actually look like: a random walk. In other words, there can be other hypotheses that fit the data.

Read the whole thing. Really. Read it now. You’ll learn something.

Child License

February 1st, 2010

In the (awful) film Nine Months, there is a scene in which Hugh Grant’s character child psychologist Samuel Faulkner is talking to his girlfriend Rebecca Taylor, played by Julianne Moore, about one of his patients.

SF: …he’s got very severe problems, and we know who to thank, don’t we?
RT: Huh?
SF: You know, his parents. The state requires you to take a written test to drive a car, but any moron can become a parent and just destroy a child’s life.

It’s funny, I keep having the same thought myself. That I am allowed to raise a child. It shouldn’t be allowed! I’m amazed it is allowed, given everything else that is controlled by governments.

And then in a bookshop the other day I noticed a book by psychologist Oliver James called They F*** You Up: How to Survive Family Life. The premise is that nurture is far more important than nature and how you’re raised determines your character. One page I read was about how parents can affect whether you grow up to have a “punitive conscience”, which means liking rules and respecting authority.

Then I skipped to the end, where Oliver makes “some practical suggestions” that he believes “should be seriously considered by governments”.

The first is that since studies of mental illness show that affluence is less of a factor than quality of childcare, “it is extraordinary that economic growth is the principal plank of all mainstream political parties.” If only that were the case! “It should be replaced by a raft of policies designed to improve the quality of early childhood experience, such as paid leave for parents who wish to care for their children when they are small, and good quality nursery care or subsidies for paid babysitters for parents who want to work.” Actually I think we are most of the way there. But, ugh!

The next suggestion: “The obsession with economic performance indicators should be replaced with much greater measurement of the effect of government policy on our mental health.” That sounds better. The government drives me mad! But here we have a psychologist asking for the government to pay more attention to psychology. It’s not very imaginative.

The next suggestion is somewhat imaginative. “All children should undergo an emotional audit during their sixteenth year.” Whether they want it or not. It’s for their own good. “The grotesque overemphasis on exam performance should be replaced by a version of cognitive anallytic therapy (CAT), in which every child is helped to evaluate the impact of of his or her upbringing on his or her psychology.” And then presumably de-programmed by the state into a perfect citizen. It’s terrifying.

Finally, he makes a plea for some taxpayers’ money for him and his buddies. “The government should commission a large-scale study of a representative sample of the population, following them from before birth to death, to provide a better understanding of the effect of early childhood experiences on adult traits.” And what might the government do with the results? What happens, for instance, when governments commission a big study into climate? Climate change becomes the biggest problem known to man and our lives must be micromanaged to control it, that’s what.

I’d take the IPCC over Oliver James’ government psychology commission any day. What a scary, scary man.

Taxing Neurons

January 31st, 2010

My wife made a spreadsheet that calculated the family finances for various scenarios including differing lengths of unpaid maternity leave. “What your spreadsheet fails to take into account,” I said, “is that if you earn less over the course of the year then you will pay proportionally less tax.”

Debate ensued about how to calculate this. We would need a column for net pay. We would need to look up my wife’s tax allowance, and the various rates, and earnings levels at which they cut in. And then there is National Insurance which is another set of rules. In the end the spreadsheet would have encoded in its formulae the entire tax code. And if you work for half the year and not the other half, exactly when do you get the overpaid tax back?

This is my longstanding gripe: that not only do they take your money, they also use up valuable brain cycles thinking about all this, and valuable neurons storing knowlege about it.

In the end we decided that it wasn’t worth the effort, and I went off to play Eve Online, the intricacies of which are a much better use of brain space.

Mars

January 29th, 2010

A friend sent me a link to a story in the Times about Mars being in an interesting place. So I went out and took a thin photo.

moon_mars_close

Mars is definitely red.

This is how it looked on Google Sky Map on my phone. The great thing about this app is that it uses the phones GPS, accelerometer and compass to tell where you are pointing the phone. So you get an augmented reality labelled window onto the night sky.

DSC_3003

Bartle Bogle Hegarty

January 28th, 2010

They have done it again. This time, the Barclaycard contactless card is used from a roller coaster. In a world of PVRs, advertisers have to make adverts that people want to watch, and it shows.

I have one problem with contactless cards. The standard apparently doesn’t allow the reader to discriminate between cards. I used to leave my Oyster card in my wallet, but now my other contactless cards interfere with it, so I have to take it out.

Tax Codes

January 26th, 2010

A tax code is a number that represents how much you can earn before paying income tax, and I think it is often manipulated on an individual basis for various reasons.

Incoming email from the human resources department at work:

Over the past few days it has come to our attention that a number of employees have recently received new tax code notices from HMRC (Inland Revenue) that are incorrect. From BBC reports, this appears to be a widespread problem due to the introduction of a new computer system. I suggest that you carefully check your tax coding notice: In principle it should contain a) a personal allowance, b) the value of benefits in kind (e.g. health insurance) based on your last P11D and c) adjustments because of your personal tax circumstances (e.g. underpaid tax from previous years).

If you think your tax code is wrong, I suggest you phone HMRC on the phone number stated on the notice. If your code is wrong it will mean too much (or too little tax) is deducted.

Please note the Company is obliged to follow the tax coding notice it receives and therefore the onus is on you to contact HMRC to correct any errors that may appear.

It’s hard to know where to begin. Those paragraphs illustrate a whole raft of coercive relationships, broken promises, illusions, lies, twisted assumptions and mental gymnastics that stand between me and my wages. Imagine trying to explain all that to a small child who has just learnt to say “mine”. They’d think you were mad. How many years of “education” does it take before those paragraphs make “sense”? The meta-context on display here is utterly alien.

Democracy

January 19th, 2010

I honestly don’t know whether to vote for the party that will introduce more controls on alcohol, or the party that will introduce more controls on alcohol.

It’s a good job we get to vote on these things.

Himalayan Glaciers

January 19th, 2010

I don’t see how one mistake in a 3,000-page report can damage the credibility of the overall report

So says Dr van Ypersele. I can see how. If you say all the Himalayan Glaciers will disappear by 2035 in the IPCC’s 4th annual report and the IPCC has no idea where the figure came from, it makes people wonder just how much other made up stuff is in there. The date is wildly inaccurate:

“You just can’t accomplish it,” Jeffrey Kargel from the University of Arizona told BBC News at the time.

“If you think about the thicknesses of the ice – 200-300m thicknesses, in some cases up to 400m thick – and if you’re losing ice at the rate of a metre a year, or let’s say double it to two metres a year, you’re not going to get rid of 200m of ice in a quarter of a century.”

The row continues in India, with Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh calling this week for the IPCC to explain “how it reached the 2035 figure, which created such a scare”.

Met Office Woes

January 17th, 2010

Via Watts Up With That? comes an article in the Times about the Met office possibly losing its BBC contract to do weather forecasts.

John Hirst, the chief executive of the Met Office, insisted last week that recent forecasts had been “very good” and blamed the public for not heeding snow warnings.

But it is the long term forecasts that are the problem. Can there be a connection between the Met Office’s (climate change blinded?) long term forecasts of a mild winter, and grit shortages?

Or perhaps it isn’t just long term forecasts.

Barry Grommet, a Met Office forecaster, said: “We put our hands up and concede that we did not expect the snow to spread so far east, and with the intensity that it did.”